Today’s interdependent economy trumps nationalism. Military might takes a back seat to economic well-being. The recent land grab by Vladimir Putin is reminiscent of old-school thinking about military solutions without regard for the economic and political consequences.
Sure, Crimea was once part of the Soviet Union and a critical part at that. With the only warm water port in this giant country, it’s understandable that Russia would see the retention of Crimea as in their national interests.
The problem is, it was illegal, and more importantly, sends a message to the rest of the world that Russia will use its military to annex lands at will, World War II style. This of course cannot be tolerated by the economically advanced nations of the world, because put simply, it’s not good for business. But what can they do? Take military action? The facts are beginning to demonstrate that the world is now so interconnected that economic pressure is more effective in the long run than a military response.
Many believe that Putin “got away with it.” They believe because Putin knew that there would be no international military response he was free to do as he chose. But we submit that the jury is still out. Today, the guy with the biggest army doesn’t win. In fact, the guy with the biggest army today has the biggest bills to pay.
We believe Putin put himself in a no-win situation on many fronts. The Russian economy was hurting before the incursion into Ukrainian sovereign territory. He promised the world that it was a “New Russia” – a safe, stable, place to invest; a dependable, western-style, legally responsible state on par with the other major economies where opportunities abound. He certainly spent billions to show the world the “New Russia” brand at the 2014 Winter Olympics.
But then, with the events in the former Soviet Republic, and now independent Ukraine, he apparently began to be fear the potential loss of Russia’s only year-round naval base and took action. Within hours foreign investors began to pull their funds out of the ”New Russia” as the country’s credit ratings plummeted and Putin turned a deaf ear to Russian businessmen facing massive losses.
Now he has to support the Crimean economy which is very depressed, while he faces unrest at home from economic leaders and citizens alike now facing a new and major economic down turn due to international sanctions. By removing Crimea, a pro-Russian province of the Ukraine, he has reduced the pro-Russian voters in the Ukraine, giving more strength to the pro-European faction who will now move faster and closer to Europe. A pro-European and modern Poland demonstrated the economic benefits of doing business with the west to the Ukraine; now, Putin is creating a modern and Europeanized Ukraine, in the center of Russia. This is a reverse domino effect.
All of these developments are not good for Putin or Russia in the long run. It’s almost like his decision to annex Crimea was without concern for the consequences and without appreciation for his country’s dependence on foreign investment. The acting head of the Ukrainian government said it was unimaginable, in this day and age, that a big country like Russia could just invade a sovereign nation. Certainly the international investment community is voting with their funds against a return to this mentality. Putin broke the “New Russia” brand promise and brought back the old, go it alone, Russia. And like any brand that breaks its promise, it loses its customers!
Who We Are
Michael Houlihan and Bonnie Harvey co-authored the New York Times bestselling business book, The Barefoot Spirit: How Hardship, Hustle, and Heart Built America’s #1 Wine Brand. The book has been selected as recommended reading in the CEO Library for CEO Forum, the C-Suite Book Club, and numerous university classes on business and entrepreneurship. It chronicles their humble beginnings from the laundry room of a rented Sonoma County farmhouse to the board room of E&J Gallo, who ultimately acquired their brand and engaged them as brand consultants. Barefoot is now the world’s largest wine brand.
Beginning with virtually no money and no wine industry experience, they employed innovative ideas to overcome obstacles, create new markets and forge strategic alliances. They pioneered Worthy Cause Marketing and performance-based compensation. They built an internationally bestselling brand and received their industry’s “Hot Brand” award for several consecutive years.
They offer their Guiding Principles for Success (GPS) & Shelf Smarts courses to help consumer product brand builders achieve success. Their book, The Entrepreneurial Culture: 23 Ways To Engage and Empower Your People, helps corporations maximize the value of their human resources.
Currently they travel the world leading workshops, trainings, & keynoting at business schools, corporations, conferences. They are regular media guests and contributors to international publications and professional journals. They are C-Suite Network Advisors & Contributing Editors. Visit their popular business site at www.thebarefootspirit.com.
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